Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.001832 0.001943 0.002057 0.002184 0.002322 0.002466 0.002630
2025-04-27 0.001685 0.001842 0.002012 0.002209 0.002432 0.002677 0.002969
2025-05-04 0.001598 0.001790 0.002003 0.002259 0.002558 0.002901 0.003326
2025-05-11 0.001544 0.001765 0.002016 0.002326 0.002701 0.003144 0.003714
2025-05-18 0.001477 0.001716 0.001994 0.002346 0.002782 0.003313 0.004018
2025-05-25 0.001388 0.001634 0.001926 0.002301 0.002778 0.003372 0.004182
2025-06-01 0.001321 0.001574 0.001879 0.002278 0.002796 0.003455 0.004378
2025-06-08 0.001281 0.001543 0.001865 0.002294 0.002862 0.003602 0.004664
2025-06-15 0.001227 0.001493 0.001824 0.002272 0.002874 0.003675 0.004852
2025-06-22 0.001181 0.001451 0.001790 0.002256 0.002893 0.003755 0.005052
2025-06-29 0.001138 0.001409 0.001755 0.002235 0.002903 0.003823 0.005235
2025-07-06 0.001092 0.001362 0.001710 0.002199 0.002889 0.003855 0.005366
2025-07-13 0.001026 0.001290 0.001632 0.002120 0.002816 0.003808 0.005389
2025-07-20 0.001002 0.001272 0.001628 0.002142 0.002890 0.003979 0.005764
2025-07-27 0.000989 0.001269 0.001641 0.002189 0.003002 0.004213 0.006257
2025-08-03 0.000983 0.001273 0.001666 0.002253 0.003143 0.004500 0.006861
2025-08-10 0.000962 0.001257 0.001660 0.002272 0.003215 0.004683 0.007306
2025-08-17 0.000923 0.001214 0.001615 0.002230 0.003189 0.004706 0.007473
2025-08-24 0.000893 0.001182 0.001584 0.002207 0.003193 0.004779 0.007733
2025-08-31 0.000876 0.001168 0.001579 0.002223 0.003258 0.004954 0.008197
2025-09-07 0.000849 0.001139 0.001550 0.002201 0.003261 0.005024 0.008466
2025-09-14 0.000826 0.001114 0.001526 0.002186 0.003272 0.005110 0.008773
2025-09-21 0.000803 0.001089 0.001501 0.002166 0.003276 0.005180 0.009054